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Red Wings at Maple Leafs
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV BSDETX, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 15:48 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were DET 20, TOR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jack Campbell stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. Jack Campbell (20 saves, 1.000), 3. William Nylander (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell20 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET070805020
TORTOR014110212336

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(59)
    J. Spezza (13), C. Blackwell (10)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    15:48

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(27)
    W. Nylander (45), I. Lyubushkin (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:03
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(60)PPG
    W. Nylander (46), M. Rielly (57)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    5:49

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:56DETPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min

2nd

  • 6:12TORNick Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 18:33TORPierre Engvall · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

3rd

  • 4:27DETMitchell Stephens · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 11:21TORIlya Mikheyev · Boardingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalDET goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 15:48 — TOR 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.20J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.18N. Abruzzese · On goal · xG 0.17J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.14P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07N. Abruzzese · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTOR
1.30 G
All situations
3 G3.5
0.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET15%85%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTOR
20
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000060.21300—25:29
17F. HronekD000-200.11110—22:13
23L. RaymondL000030.15100—20:05
24P. SuterC000-110.012125019:47
15J. VranaL000-110.22000—19:22
27M. RasmussenC000-160.371207119:12
89S. GagnerC000-110.031002518:47
90J. VelenoC000010.134004017:17
70O. SundqvistC000-100.003002017:05
82J. OesterleD000-100.00220—16:49
8J. WalmanD000-100.00210—16:10
28G. LindstromD000000.00420—15:48
65D. DeKeyserD000000.00130—15:23
57T. ElsonC000-100.00300013:02
25T. HiroseL000010.07200—12:29
22M. StephensC000000.001026710:33
42K. CriscuoloC000000.00100008:48
84O. JuoleviD000000.00000—08:19
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)36333.9173.54+0.5460:00

Season series

TOR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).