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Devils at Lightning
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV MSG+, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 11:55 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 33, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 2. Mathieu Joseph (1 G), 3. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    M. Joseph1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11201417233
TBLTBL01821116335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    D. Severson(6)PPG
    J. Bratt (24)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    4:33

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(14)PPG
    V. Hedman (36), S. Stamkos (31)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    1:46
  2. TBL
    M. Joseph(8)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    14:16

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(11)
    J. Bratt (25), D. Severson (15)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:55
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(12)
    B. Point (13), O. Palat (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +33 pts
    2-3
    11:55

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:10TBLMikhail Sergachev · High stickingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

2nd

  • 0:52NJDAndreas Johnsson · High stickingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 12:21TBLJan Rutta · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler4 min
  • 13:50NJDDamon Severson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Anthony Cirelli0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 3rd 11:55 — TBL 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.43A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.34A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.29V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.19V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.14T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.12M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.11P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD38%62%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
33
Shots on goal
35
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
35
6
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD112-130.10200—27:10
13N. HischierC000-100.003006321:28
86J. HughesC101-150.730002920:48
14N. BastianR000-150.62200—20:09
71J. SiegenthalerD000030.08200—19:51
63J. BrattL022-130.23100—19:38
76P. SubbanD000020.05000—19:16
33R. GravesD000030.12210—19:02
24T. SmithD000000.00010—16:31
17Y. SharangovichC000030.320005015:15
18D. MercerC000010.060203014:49
37P. ZachaC000010.12110014:24
11A. JohnssonL000010.06202—13:37
2C. WhiteD000010.01300—12:33
90T. TatarL000000.0500010012:22
70J. BoqvistC000000.063102911:49
16J. VeseyL000010.01400—11:40
59J. KuokkanenC000010.10000011:19
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(L)35323.9143.51+0.5157:23

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).