New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-3. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 9:34 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were NJD 27, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (31 saves, .912), 3. Jan Rutta (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★Y. Sharangovich2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Blackwood31 saves, .912

- ★★★J. Rutta1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-15:49
1-113:56
1-218:15
2nd period
1-36:17
3rd period
2-31:12
3-35:39
4-39:34
5-318:44
Penalties
1st
- 2:10
P.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 8:47
Pavel Zacha · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 9:10
Alex Killorn · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
- 17:31
Damon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
2nd
- 7:36
Corey Perry · Illegal check to headdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 11:19
Alex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
3rd
- 10:06
Ryan Graves · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Brayden Point0 min
- 15:02
Dougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 9:34 — 48% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.7
- 2.34 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 25
- Hits
- 26
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 2
- Giveaways
- 1
- 7
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
