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Penguins at Flyers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 14:55 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 61% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 32, PHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Carter Hart stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (2 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (18 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry18 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT3150839632
PHIPHI091615220

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(8)PPG
    K. Letang (24), S. Crosby (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    12:21
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(9)
    E. Rodrigues (15), K. Letang (25)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    14:55
  3. PIT
    J. Guentzel(17)
    K. Letang (26), B. Dumoulin (7)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    16:16

2nd period

  1. PHI
    C. Atkinson(14)
    J. Farabee (6), S. Laughton (5)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    8:10

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(15)
    K. Kapanen (10)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:50
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(18)
    S. Crosby (19), B. Rust (11)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    10:20
  3. PIT
    B. Boyle(4)SHG
    J. Marino (14)
    snapxG 0.20
    6-1
    11:51
  4. PHI
    O. Lindblom(4)
    M. Frost (4), Z. MacEwen (2)
    snapxG 0.20
    6-2
    13:00

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·PHI 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:48PITTeddy Blueger · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 11:25PHIMorgan Frost · Holding the stickdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 14:13PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 14:13PITTristan Jarry · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 4:24PITKasper Bjorkqvist · Interferencedrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

3rd

  • 2:12PITJake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 2:12PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:46PITMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 11:51PHIKevin Hayes · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 1st 14:55 — PIT 61% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.27O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.20C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.14P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.03P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.00C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
3.26 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.74 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT64%36%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
20
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/1
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
16
17
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
3
12
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD033+230.15020—25:03
8B. DumoulinD011+120.08040—21:10
6J. MarinoD011+300.00020—20:39
5M. MathesonD000000.00140—18:29
2C. RuhwedelD000010.04500—17:23
9E. RodriguesC112+250.560004417:22
28M. PetterssonD000010.03202—16:37
17B. RustR213+140.58100—16:34
23B. McGinnL000-120.050005016:09
53T. BluegerC000-120.041125815:52
59J. GuentzelC202+130.5300210015:48
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000+100.00200—15:45
87S. CrosbyC022+120.340005915:39
43D. HeinenL000+120.33010—13:42
42K. KapanenR011+110.01100—13:37
11B. BoyleC101+120.370106312:01
20K. BjorkqvistR000010.03302—09:40
49D. SimonC000010.01100008:38
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)20182.9002.30+0.3059:52

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).