Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 1:54. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 1:54 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.5, PIT 3.6; shots on goal were PHI 38, PIT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (36 saves, .947).
Three stars
- ★K. Letang1 G

- ★★J. Guentzel1 G

- ★★★T. Jarry36 saves, .947

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-10:16
2nd period
1-17:37
1-211:46
3rd period
2-217:08
Overtime
2-31:54
Penalties
1st
- 6:40
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
2nd
- 3:41
Claude Giroux · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
- 6:20
Danton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
3rd
- 6:12
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
- 13:58
Brock McGinn · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 1:54 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 3.01 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.9
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 3.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 20
- Hits
- 39
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 4
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-1
2@
3OTthis game
6@
2Final
4@
5OTFinal
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
