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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSP+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 0:31. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 27, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.0 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI173130700427
PITPIT290182611534

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:47
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:09
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:34

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:57
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    10:43
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    17:09

3rd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang (39), S. Crosby (32)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    12:36
  2. PIT
    D. Heinen (10), J. Carter (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +36 pts
    4-4
    12:54

Overtime

  1. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    0:31

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:51PHIJustin Braun · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 1:44PHIConnor Bunnaman · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 11:49PITMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 2:16PHIIsaac Ratcliffe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 2:21PITJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 12:00PHIIsaac Ratcliffe · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 13:13PITJake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 0:31 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.36K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.28E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.21J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16C. Ruhwedel · Goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · Goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.09M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
2.14 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI33%67%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
34
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+110.08120—29:56
61J. BraunD101+130.03012—23:53
28C. GirouxR101030.391007023:39
6T. SanheimD000+120.12020—23:20
89C. AtkinsonR011030.290103322:29
24N. SeelerD101+110.02420—20:44
11T. KonecnyR011+330.23000—20:33
25J. van RiemsdykL022+320.02010—19:29
21S. LaughtonC112+330.390005718:54
23O. LindblomL011+110.05110—17:12
71M. WillmanC000-100.00310015:23
48M. FrostC000-120.121007512:54
76I. RatcliffeL000010.22214—12:46
3K. YandleD000010.04000—10:14
82C. BunnamanC000-200.001023809:21
8K. ConnautonD000-100.02010—07:24
59J. CatesC000-110.01010004:05
17Z. MacEwenR000-100.00300—03:58
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(O)34295.8533.04-1.9660:31

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).