Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 0:31. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 27, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.0 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Letang1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Guentzel1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-013:47
1-114:09
1-216:34
2nd period
2-20:57
3-210:43
4-217:09
3rd period
4-312:36
4-412:54
Overtime
4-50:31
Penalties
1st
- 5:00
Evgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 15:51
Justin Braun · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
2nd
- 1:44
Connor Bunnaman · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 11:49
Mike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
3rd
- 2:16
Isaac Ratcliffe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 2:21
Jake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 12:00
Isaac Ratcliffe · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
- 13:13
Jake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 0:31 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.14 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.0
- 1.34 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.9
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.99
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 17
- Hits
- 20
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 5
- Giveaways
- 14
- 9
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-1
2@
3OTFinal
6@
2Final
4@
5OTthis game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
