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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

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New York Rangers
▸2
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYR 31, BUF 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (36 saves, .973), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11211207231
BUFBUF06013118137

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(5)PPG
    A. Panarin (23), A. Fox (23)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:48

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(6)
    A. Fox (24), F. Chytil (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    9:47

3rd period

  1. BUF
    B. Murray(2)
    M. Pysyk (5), K. Okposo (12)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    14:37

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·BUF 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:55NYRBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 2:55BUFJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 4:31BUFMark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:08BUFKyle Okposo · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

2nd

  • 11:17NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Brett Murray2 min
  • 19:16NYRRyan Reaves · Cross checkingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

3rd

  • 20:00NYRBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 20:00BUFDylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 2nd 9:47 — NYR 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Murray · Goal · xG 0.35M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.34J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.16J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.16B. Murray · On goal · xG 0.15R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.13T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.00V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.42 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
5
16
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
1
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022020.03010—24:01
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00320—23:04
79K. MillerD000010.09130—21:08
93M. ZibanejadC101-130.340004520:26
8J. TroubaD000010.04032—20:26
20C. KreiderL000-130.341005018:45
24K. KakkoR000-130.43000—17:38
12P. NemethD000020.02110—17:24
21B. GoodrowC000010.101376717:20
10A. PanarinL011020.22000—16:08
16R. StromeC000000.000006015:43
17K. RooneyC000010.0102010015:34
29D. HuntL000020.06200—13:33
27N. LundkvistD000+100.00200—13:02
75R. ReavesR000010.01302—11:24
72F. ChytilC011+130.120102910:52
13A. LafrenièreL101+120.2810010009:53
15J. GauthierR000+140.30200—09:39
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)37361.9732.89+1.8960:00

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).