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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
4
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lindgren's goal at 19:59 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were BUF 22, NYR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 0.9 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (3 A), 2. Ryan Lindgren (1 G), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    R. Lindgren1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1831004422
NYRNYR18315113536

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Asplund(5)PPG
    Z. Girgensons (5), K. Okposo (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    15:53
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(13)PPG
    A. Panarin (13), A. Fox (13)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    19:37

2nd period

  1. BUF
    V. Hinostroza(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:26
  2. NYR
    J. Trouba(2)
    A. Panarin (14), F. Chytil (2)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:03
  3. NYR
    K. Kakko(3)
    R. Strome (9), A. Panarin (15)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    12:07
  4. BUF
    T. Thompson(6)
    R. Dahlin (7), M. Pysyk (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    12:57
  5. BUF
    R. Dahlin(3)
    V. Olofsson (5), T. Thompson (5)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    13:12
  6. NYR
    K. Miller(2)
    B. Goodrow (5), R. Reaves (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    4-4
    13:29

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Lindgren(2)
    M. Zibanejad (11), A. Fox (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +48 pts
    4-5
    19:59

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:33NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 15:11NYRKaapo Kakko · Holdingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 19:11BUFJacob Bryson · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 0:53NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lindgren, 3rd 19:59 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.37J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.30B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.25J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.22A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.20J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.16F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.15R. Lindgren · Goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tinordi · Missed · xG 0.04K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 4.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
1.34 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.03 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF11%89%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.26 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
22
Shots on goal
36
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
34
15
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD112+340.08020—26:41
13M. PysykD011+220.05030—21:43
8R. HaggD000-310.05320—20:05
33C. MillerD000-110.08100—18:52
78J. BrysonD000-110.00022—17:55
21K. OkposoR011-110.0720010017:36
74R. AsplundC101-210.20000017:12
72T. ThompsonC112+120.122006717:02
24D. CozensC000-110.120103116:59
71V. OlofssonL011010.01010—16:45
53J. SkinnerL000000.03000—16:20
28Z. GirgensonsC011020.133006716:15
96A. BjorkL000+100.00000—14:21
15J. HaydenC000020.11410014:16
20C. EakinC000-110.021005814:06
4W. ButcherD000-200.00020—11:48
29V. HinostrozaC101010.13000011:42
91D. CaggiulaL000010.06010—10:57
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80A. Dell(L)36315.8614.05-0.9558:59

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).