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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV BSN+, BSWI+·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Johnson's goal at 17:34 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 30, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A), 3. Erik Johnson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    E. Johnson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0811507130
COLCOL1151828431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(3)
    A. Burakovsky (3), N. MacKinnon (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:03

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(4)PPG
    M. Foligno (4), M. Dumba (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    16:54
  2. COL
    E. Johnson(1)
    N. MacKinnon (8), G. Landeskog (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    17:34

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(3)PPG
    G. Landeskog (4), J. Compher (3)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    2:54
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(4)EN
    J. Compher (4), E. Johnson (2)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:48

Penalties

MIN 21 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:09MINDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 14:16COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 16:31COLBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 2:24MINBrandon Duhaime · Cross checkingdrawn by Bowen Byram5 min
  • 2:24MINBrandon Duhaime · Game misconduct10 min
  • 2:24MINBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 2:24COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 6:16MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Sampo Ranta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Johnson, 2nd 17:34 — COL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.52L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.20N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.13D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.08D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.07J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.07S. Ranta · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN36%64%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/4
21
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
21
1
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-330.08110—24:35
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.11110—23:08
24M. DumbaD011-210.12330—21:30
89F. GaudreauC000-120.182203619:46
97K. KaprizovL000-130.36010—19:36
38R. HartmanR101050.2611210018:00
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.164005917:57
29D. KulikovD000000.00232—17:52
22K. FialaL000-100.00000—17:29
4J. MerrillD000040.11020—17:03
17M. FolignoL011-100.0040010016:56
59C. AddisonD000010.11110—13:54
7N. SturmC000-100.090208011:46
52C. DewarC000-110.131104011:38
27N. BjugstadC000-110.022003311:16
53A. BeckmanL000-130.04010—10:51
37K. RauC000-110.03000010:12
21B. DuhaimeL000-120.041017—08:04
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)30273.9002.54-0.4659:27

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).