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Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV BSSD, BSSC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 3-2 in overtime, Jamie Drysdale scoring at 3:26. The Flames scored first; the Ducks answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Drysdale's goal at 3:26 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 27, CGY 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. John Gibson stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (41 saves, .953), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson41 saves, .953
  2. ★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA17091813327
CGYCGY11611401201243

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:43
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    15:56

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:52

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    12:55

Overtime

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:26

Penalties

ANA 11 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 9:44CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 11:34ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 14:03CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Interference2 min
  • 16:34ANAMason McTavish · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 8:26ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 8:26CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min

3rd

  • 16:39ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale, OT 3:26 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.24A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.20A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.15B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.12J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06G. Gawdin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.04S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
1.93 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA22%78%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
6
12
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD011010.09020—22:01
4C. FowlerD101-110.09010—21:29
34J. DrysdaleD101030.35000—21:07
47H. LindholmD000020.08010—21:03
67R. RakellR101+230.22020—19:45
15R. GetzlafC000-110.102004718:44
46T. ZegrasC000+140.322104218:30
42J. MansonD000020.05022—18:17
21I. LundestromC000010.040004318:09
76J. MahuraD011000.00230—17:20
14A. HenriqueC011+110.100307517:05
33J. SilfverbergR000020.06122—16:48
44M. ComtoisL000-120.16100—15:55
19T. TerryR022020.14010—15:47
50B. GroulxC000-100.002003314:07
49M. JonesL000-110.020005011:47
20N. DeslauriersL000-110.01415—10:58
37M. McTavishC000000.06002005:23
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)43412.9533.69+1.6963:26

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).