Skip to content
Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV MSG+, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Hurricanes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 6:30 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 28, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1621408328
CARCAR28222211641

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(1)
    K. Palmieri (1), A. Greene (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:23
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)
    T. Teravainen (1), E. Bear (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:15
  3. CAR
    J. Fast(1)
    J. Slavin (1), J. Staal (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:57

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)
    A. Beauvillier (1), J. Bailey (1)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:52
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:30
  3. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(1)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    11:28
  4. NYI
    A. Lee(1)
    N. Dobson (1), K. Palmieri (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    14:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (1), A. Svechnikov (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    11:36
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(2)EN
    T. DeAngelo (2), S. Aho (1)
    wristxG 0.52
    3-6
    19:18

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:10NYIBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 10:43CARMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min
  • 16:46CARBrady Skjei · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 2:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 3:02NYIAnders Lee · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 11:28NYIserved by A. Lee · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 10:47NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Holdingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 18:45NYIMathew Barzal · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 6:30 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.52S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
2.93 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI39%61%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
41
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000+120.06360—22:36
3A. PelechD000010.02020—21:58
8N. DobsonD011+210.01120—20:08
13M. BarzalC101+230.291026319:58
27A. LeeL101+210.302024318:57
18A. BeauvillierR011020.30110—18:18
21K. PalmieriC022+240.24110018:10
12J. BaileyR011-110.07310—17:58
29B. NelsonC101-130.732024417:32
24S. MayfieldD000-310.01030—16:26
33Z. CharaD000+100.00410—16:21
4A. GreeneD011-310.02130—16:15
11Z. PariseL000-130.12210—13:59
44J. PageauC000-230.290005413:30
26O. WahlstromR000-100.35202—12:34
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.01710—12:21
53C. CizikasC000-110.062002511:45
32R. JohnstonL000-100.00400—05:50
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)40355.8753.49-1.5157:58

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).