Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in triple overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 6:52. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 6:52 of the third overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.6, WPG 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 40, WPG 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Blake Wheeler (2 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Scheifele2 G

- ★★B. Wheeler2 A

- ★★★L. Draisaitl2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-16:16
1-17:33
1-215:55
2nd period
2-23:44
3-216:37
3rd period
3-36:01
3OT overtime
3-46:52
Penalties
1st
- 4:31
Adam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 16:39
Gaetan Haas · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 19:17
Leon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
2nd
- 6:41
Neal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
- 15:09
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
- 17:24
Logan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
- 19:16
Josh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
OT
- 4:29
Kailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
3OT
- 4:32
Gaetan Haas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3OT 6:52 — 52% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.4
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 1.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 129 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 3.38
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 39
- Hits
- 46
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 47
- 12
- Giveaways
- 16
- 16
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Series
WPG leads 4-0
4@
1Final
1@
0OTFinal
4@
5OTFinal
3@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
