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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

Final/3OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in triple overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 6:52. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 6:52 of the third overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.6, WPG 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 40, WPG 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Blake Wheeler (2 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OT3OTT
EDMEDM1521206060803340
WPGWPG21206150100713443

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    6:16
  2. EDM
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:33
  3. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:55

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:44
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    16:37

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.22win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:01

3OT overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    6:52

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:31EDMAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 16:39EDMGaetan Haas · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:17EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

2nd

  • 6:41WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 15:09WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
  • 17:24WPGLogan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 19:16WPGJosh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

OT

  • 4:29EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3OT

  • 4:32EDMGaetan Haas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3OT 6:52 — WPG 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.22N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.22P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.4 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.63 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 129 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
39
Hits
46
26
Blocked shots
47
12
Giveaways
16
16
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+120.17260—62:07
22T. BarrieD000050.22330—49:15
97C. McDavidC101-140.240106345:46
29L. DraisaitlC022-1101.332024044:37
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+140.380103839:58
6A. LarssonD011-110.02222—39:00
56K. YamamotoR000010.33412—35:36
4K. RussellD000010.04130—32:40
44Z. KassianR011010.00600—28:28
14D. ShoreC000-130.12400024:56
13J. PuljujarviR011020.29010—23:29
91G. HaasC000010.104646722:32
63T. EnnisR000020.13510—22:20
74E. BearD000-100.00010—14:02
16J. KhairaL000-100.024005010:51
20S. KoekkoekD000-110.01100—09:58
71R. McLeodC000+100.000003309:40
39A. ChiassonR101-120.21100—09:28
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)43394.9073.39-0.61106:44

Series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).