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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 16:33 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were MTL 23, TOR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G), 2. Pierre Engvall (1 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    P. Engvall1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1711006223
TORTOR04310012326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Kulak(2)
    A. Belzile (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:34

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)
    T. Toffoli (16), J. Petry (30)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    0:31
  2. TOR
    P. Engvall(6)
    J. Spezza (20), J. Holl (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:02
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(17)
    J. Tavares (31), J. Muzzin (21)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:36
  4. TOR
    M. Marner(20)
    A. Matthews (25)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:33

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:30TORJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 6:10TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 19:29MTLJeff Petry · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

3rd

  • 3:56TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 19:32MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 16:33 — TOR 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.17A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.15A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.13J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.06P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.05P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.05J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL30%70%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
23
Shots on goal
26
38%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
27
9
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000010.03110—22:43
26J. PetryD011+110.01104—22:21
14N. SuzukiC101-140.302205019:36
44J. EdmundsonD000+110.01420—19:02
17J. AndersonR000010.12400—18:41
73T. ToffoliC011030.22310018:19
94C. PerryR000020.08200—17:27
77B. KulakD101020.05200—16:59
27A. RomanovD000-200.01100—16:20
40J. ArmiaR000010.14110—16:17
90T. TatarL000-120.13100—16:11
15J. KotkaniemiC000010.032103315:48
21E. StaalC000000.041001515:36
28J. MerrillD000-200.03210—14:52
62A. LehkonenL000010.08400—14:44
71J. EvansC000010.040004413:21
22C. CaufieldR000010.02000—12:46
60A. BelzileR011-110.06100—08:29
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)26233.8852.45-0.5557:46

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).