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Red Wings at Blue Jackets
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV BSDET, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in overtime, Max Domi scoring at 4:39. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 4:39 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.1, CBJ 3.1; shots on goal were DET 37, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.9 goals below expected; Matiss Kivlenieks stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Robinson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Max Domi (1 G), 3. Seth Jones (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Robinson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Domi1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    S. Jones3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1611121604437
CBJCBJ11111121014536

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:40
  2. CBJ
    P. Laine (11), S. Jones (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:16

2nd period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:55
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:15

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.12win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    6:43
  2. DET
    S. Gagner(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    8:04
  3. CBJ
    S. Jones (22), P. Laine (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +37 pts
    3-4
    14:45
  4. DET
    wristxG 0.39win prob +39 pts
    4-4
    16:18

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    4:39

Penalties

DET 0 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

3rd

  • 6:05CBJMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalDET goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Max Domi, OT 4:39 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.26C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.20J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.17E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.14E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.12M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07S. Matteau · Missed · xG 0.07L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.07L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Matteau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.04L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.04L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gerbe · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01G. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gerbe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.1 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCBJ
3.14 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.93 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET51%49%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCBJ
37
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28G. LindstromD000020.07200—22:11
17F. HronekD011-210.06000—21:52
51V. FilppulaC101030.710004320:38
70T. StecherD000020.04130—20:08
15J. VranaL112-170.58000—19:38
24R. PanikR011030.31010—17:44
89S. GagnerC101-350.620003817:37
11F. ZadinaR000000.05110—17:09
27M. RasmussenC011020.022007117:09
86M. BromeL000010.01200—16:53
43D. HelmC000010.03000016:43
41L. GlendeningC000020.102005316:40
65D. DeKeyserD101010.04020—15:50
92V. NamestnikovC000-120.210003315:39
18M. StaalD000010.04100—15:20
21D. CholowskiD022020.05010—14:24
37E. SvechnikovL011010.08000—14:23
44C. DjoosD011-110.11000—14:01
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Pickard(O)36315.8613.06-1.9464:37

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).