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Blue Jackets at Red Wings
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Rasmussen's goal at 2:51 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.2 to 1.2; shots on goal were CBJ 17, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 16 of 17 (.941). Three stars: 1. Michael Rasmussen (1 G), 2. Calvin Pickard (16 saves, .941), 3. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    C. Pickard16 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    DET
    E. Svechnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ031806117
DETDET1701438429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Helm (3), C. Djoos (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:40

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    18:25

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.26win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    2:51
  2. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:31
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.92
    1-4
    18:52

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:12DETAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 4:12CBJJack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 4:12DETAnthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

3rd

  • 2:51CBJserved by M. Domi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCBJ goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Rasmussen, 3rd 2:51 — DET 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.92F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.33M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.26D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.21M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.17A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.16L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.15E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.15S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12E. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.11B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.11A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 4.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsDET
1.21 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ20%80%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.16 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsDET
17
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
3
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-230.10400—25:17
8Z. WerenskiD000-210.03020—24:31
58D. SavardD000010.03110—19:06
13C. AtkinsonR011000.00410—18:51
44V. GavrikovD000000.00120—18:27
28O. BjorkstrandR011030.11010—17:38
96J. RoslovicC101020.243125817:14
71N. FolignoL000-110.1151010016:45
38B. JennerC000-200.002006316:32
15M. Del ZottoD000-100.00200—16:13
42A. TexierL000-110.04100—15:51
11K. StenlundC000000.001006415:16
29P. LaineL000-210.19100—14:56
53G. CarlssonD000-120.12110—14:34
16M. DomiC000-110.0900010014:02
50E. RobinsonL000000.00310—13:05
49R. MacInnisC000-210.111004010:52
20R. NashC000-200.00110009:26
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)27252.9262.91+0.9159:24

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).