Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Rasmussen's goal at 2:51 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.2 to 1.2; shots on goal were CBJ 17, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 16 of 17 (.941). Three stars: 1. Michael Rasmussen (1 G), 2. Calvin Pickard (16 saves, .941), 3. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Rasmussen1 G

- ★★C. Pickard16 saves, .941

- ★★★E. Svechnikov1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-110:40
2nd period
1-118:25
3rd period
1-22:51
1-318:31
1-418:52
Penalties
2nd
- 4:12
Anthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
- 4:12
Jack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
- 4:12
Anthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
3rd
- 2:51
served by M. Domi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Michael Rasmussen, 3rd 2:51 — 52% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.21 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.2
- 1.01 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.16 – 2.79
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 17
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 31
- Hits
- 18
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 2
- Giveaways
- 3
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 4-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
