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Red Wings at Blue Jackets
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
FinalTV BSDET+, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 16:52 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were DET 36, CBJ 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Matiss Kivlenieks stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Vrana (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gavin Bayreuther (1 G), 3. Joseph Veleno (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Vrana1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    G. Bayreuther1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Veleno1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET012311213536
CBJCBJ1111805224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    G. Bayreuther(1)
    L. Foudy (4), P. Laine (10)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:43

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    N. Gerbe(1)
    E. Robinson (9), V. Gavrikov (10)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:48
  2. DET
    J. Veleno(1)PPG
    J. Vrana (16), F. Hronek (22)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    13:50
  3. DET
    D. DeKeyser(3)
    M. Brome (1), M. Rasmussen (8)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:48
  4. DET
    J. Vrana(18)
    R. Panik (8), V. Filppula (7)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:52

3rd period

  1. DET
    V. Namestnikov(7)EN
    S. Gagner (8), V. Filppula (8)
    snapxG 0.90win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    17:58
  2. DET
    V. Namestnikov(8)EN
    V. Filppula (9), F. Hronek (23)
    backhandxG 0.54
    5-2
    19:12

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:20DETMichael Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min

2nd

  • 12:17CBJAndrew Peeke · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 19:35CBJKevin Stenlund · Hookingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalDET goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 2nd 16:52 — DET 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.24N. Gerbe · Goal · xG 0.21E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.20L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.13M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.08R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bayreuther · Goal · xG 0.03N. Gerbe · Missed · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCBJ
3.43 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCBJ
36
Shots on goal
24
70%
Faceoffs
30%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD022+240.08100—21:29
65D. DeKeyserD101+230.17010—20:23
18M. StaalD000-100.00000—19:05
28G. LindstromD000+110.01310—19:00
70T. StecherD000-120.03110—18:39
21D. CholowskiD000+100.00010—17:42
11F. ZadinaR000-110.01100—16:45
89S. GagnerC011040.2001010016:30
92V. NamestnikovC202+241.66000016:22
51V. FilppulaC033+310.130007915:53
43D. HelmC000+110.08110015:52
27M. RasmussenC011+140.402223315:31
41L. GlendeningC000020.120107915:22
90J. VelenoC101030.181107114:50
24R. PanikR011+110.03000—14:26
15J. VranaL112020.2410010013:52
48G. SmithR000-130.04200—13:31
86M. BromeL011+100.00010—12:57
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(W)24222.9171.71-0.2959:51

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).