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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
5
Minnesota Wild
▸6
FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-RM·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-5. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 18:28 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 8% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 32, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.4 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonas Brodin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Bonino (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    N. Bonino2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK310211011532
MINMIN21211139632

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(18)
    J. Spurgeon (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:36
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(8)
    M. Stone (38), B. McNabb (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:29
  3. VGK
    A. Martinez(8)PPG
    R. Smith (9), W. Karlsson (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    6:05
  4. MIN
    N. Bonino(8)
    M. Dumba (14), J. Brodin (14)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    7:48
  5. VGK
    A. Tuch(18)
    P. Krebs (1), N. Roy (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    12:20

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(21)
    C. Stephenson (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:48
  2. MIN
    N. Bonino(9)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (17), K. Kaprizov (21)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    8:44
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(16)
    A. Martinez (21), W. Karlsson (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    16:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(20)
    N. Bonino (14), V. Rask (13)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    5-4
    10:49
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(24)
    K. Fiala (19)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +44 pts
    5-5
    18:28
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(9)
    M. Foligno (13), J. Greenway (25)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +43 pts
    5-6
    18:54

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:29MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 7:44VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 8:21VGKAlex Pietrangelo · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 12:08VGKReilly Smith · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 12:08MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 12:08MINRyan Hartman · Cross checkingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 12:08VGKReilly Smith · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:16MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

3rd

  • 14:29MINIan Cole · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 18:28 — MIN 8% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.23M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.22K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.21K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.20N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
2.45 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.84 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
61M. StoneR112-110.20120—23:34
23A. MartinezD112030.46010—23:09
27S. TheodoreD101-140.16100—22:56
3B. McNabbD011010.01402—20:53
20C. StephensonC011-130.220105920:42
26M. JanmarkC000-210.031005020:40
7A. PietrangeloD000040.08012—20:30
89A. TuchR101050.26000—18:35
81J. MarchessaultR101010.200106718:09
71W. KarlssonC022020.142004718:02
19R. SmithR011-110.13014—16:16
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.00210—15:10
14N. HagueD000020.17100—14:47
10N. RoyC011+110.241006012:11
55K. KolesarR000-110.051005012:00
28W. CarrierL000+120.02300—11:20
18P. KrebsC011+100.000008009:05
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)32266.8132.63-3.3759:01

Season series

MIN leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).