Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Max Pacioretty scoring at 2:00. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 2:00 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 30, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (5 A), 2. Max Pacioretty (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Stone5 A

- ★★M. Pacioretty2 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Tuch1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals2nd period
0-17:09
1-18:51
2-19:57
2-213:41
3-217:53
4-218:12
3rd period
4-312:40
4-419:18
Overtime
4-52:00
Penalties
1st
- 14:24
Mathew Dumba · Holding the stickdrawn by William Carrier2 min
2nd
- 6:02
Mats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
- 12:59
served by K. Fiala · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Max Pacioretty, OT 2:00 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.04 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.5
- 2.04 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.8
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 12
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 4
- Giveaways
- 1
- 8
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
