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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

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Minnesota Wild
▸2
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Wild answered. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 7:08 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 27, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Tomas Nosek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Nosek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0120728227
VGKVGK11007011128

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    T. Nosek(5)
    N. Roy (4), A. Tuch (10)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:33

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(14)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (7), K. Fiala (10)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    6:13
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(12)
    J. Greenway (18), R. Suter (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    2-1
    7:08

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:07MINCarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 15:24VGKReilly Smith · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:29MINKirill Kaprizov · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

3rd

  • 4:57VGKCody Glass · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 11:15MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 15:44VGKTomas Nosek · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 7:08 — MIN 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.24S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.22A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.14T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.12 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN37%63%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
16
26
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000020.05210—23:03
24M. DumbaD000020.12030—22:11
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00130—21:48
20R. SuterD011010.03010—20:29
97K. KaprizovL101+140.45012—18:40
22K. FialaL011040.26100—18:11
38R. HartmanR000-100.002106718:08
14J. Eriksson EkC112+130.306005016:41
18J. GreenwayL011+110.1512210016:25
90M. JohanssonL000-130.190007516:16
28I. ColeD000000.00110—15:41
13N. BoninoC000030.400303915:34
49V. RaskC000000.00010015:02
21C. SoucyD000000.00132—14:40
27N. BjugstadC000-130.101005011:57
41L. JohnsonC000010.013004411:34
37K. RauC000000.00230009:39
7N. SturmC000000.0023010008:01
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)28271.9642.75+1.7560:00

Season series

MIN leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).