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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV BSMW+, BSW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Bortuzzo's goal at 2:13 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 20, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. John Gibson stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 2. Robert Thomas (1 A), 3. Robert Bortuzzo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Bortuzzo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA031809120
STLSTL08110214332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(14)PPG
    J. Schwartz (12), J. Faulk (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    5:52
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:17

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Bortuzzo(1)
    J. Kyrou (20), R. Thomas (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    2:13
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(23)EN
    D. Perron (35), J. Faulk (13)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:51

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:52ANATrevor Zegras · Holdingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 7:46ANAJacob Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 10:02STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 12:25STLZachary Sanford · High stickingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Robert Bortuzzo, 3rd 2:13 — STL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.39Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.17R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.17J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.14R. Bortuzzo · Goal · xG 0.13J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA37%63%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000-220.01000—23:14
51H. FleuryD000020.08110—21:57
46T. ZegrasC000-120.610025020:17
53M. ComtoisL000-120.1810010019:38
32J. LarssonD000+100.00102—18:10
61T. TerryR000020.29000—18:07
67R. RakellR000-120.05200—18:06
48I. LundestromC000000.000005317:43
76J. MahuraD000010.03020—17:41
86S. BenoitD000-100.01320—16:58
4C. FowlerD000+100.00000—16:55
92A. VolkovR000000.00010—15:14
43D. HeinenL000010.06020—14:45
15R. GetzlafC101-140.390103314:40
49M. JonesL000-110.14100—13:27
39S. CarrickC000000.00310012:15
20N. DeslauriersL000010.04210—09:41
38D. GrantC000000.111006209:27
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)31292.9352.71+0.7158:45

Season series

STL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).