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Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 19:07 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were ANA 24, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. John Gibson stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (33 saves, .971), 2. Sam Steel (1 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Steel1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA092926424
STLSTL01001717134

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    2:23
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    19:07

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:50
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.67win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:57
  3. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.70
    4-1
    19:55

Penalties

ANA 14 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:22STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää5 min
  • 1:22ANAJani Hakanpää · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 5:36ANATrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 2:29ANABen Hutton · Fightingdrawn by Jacob de la Rose5 min
  • 2:29STLJacob de la Rose · Fightingdrawn by Ben Hutton5 min
  • 7:17ANATrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 5:21STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Max Jones, 2nd 19:07 — ANA 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.19M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.10R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
3.52 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA23%77%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
34
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
7
9
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+100.00010—22:16
42J. MansonD000+100.00320—21:58
22K. ShattenkirkD000000.04000—20:35
67R. RakellR101+121.49100—20:06
7B. HuttonD000+100.00205—19:47
15R. GetzlafC011+120.081104218:41
53M. ComtoisL000+100.0820010017:48
28J. HakanpääD000+220.06205—17:13
38D. GrantC101030.860105016:39
61T. TerryR000000.00000—16:36
33J. SilfverbergR011+230.27010—16:08
48I. LundestromC000+120.041005015:55
49M. JonesL101+220.21400—15:53
14A. HenriqueC000020.08020915:33
45A. WelinskiD000+100.00110—14:55
23S. SteelC101+150.271005013:11
46T. ZegrasC000010.04004010:24
34J. DrysdaleD000000.00010—02:22
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)34331.9712.98+1.9860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).