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Blues at Ducks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
4
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The Ducks scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 6:35 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 35, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Isac Lundeström (3 G), 2. Zachary Sanford (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    I. Lundestrom3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    Z. Sanford2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11231617535
ANAANA11107315433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(3)
    M. Comtois (6), C. Fowler (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:04
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(8)
    R. O'Reilly (13), Z. Sanford (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:03

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(7)
    B. Schenn (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:35
  2. STL
    Z. Sanford(5)PPG
    V. Dunn (5), J. Faulk (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    12:45
  3. STL
    D. Joshua(1)
    K. Clifford (1), M. Scandella (2)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    12:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(4)
    R. Rakell (8)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    0:34
  2. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(5)
    K. Shattenkirk (6), R. Rakell (9)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    15:16
  3. STL
    Z. Sanford(6)EN
    J. Faulk (6)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +13 pts
    5-3
    18:40
  4. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(2)PPG
    J. Silfverberg (5), M. Jones (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    5-4
    19:00

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:46STLJordan Kyrou · High sticking double minordrawn by Max Jones4 min

2nd

  • 1:29ANAJakob Silfverberg · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 10:48ANAIsac Lundeström · Interferencedrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 18:01STLDavid Perron · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

3rd

  • 7:39ANAJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 17:54STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 6:35 — STL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.28M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.21M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.16I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.16R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.15M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.13S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.10N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.10M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.05M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.05S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
4.24 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL55%45%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
35
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000+140.25100—23:32
6M. ScandellaD011+230.19130—23:19
72J. FaulkD022+100.55220—21:51
10B. SchennC011-110.020106321:19
90R. O'ReillyC011+210.190004820:30
70O. SundqvistC000-110.073024719:45
29V. DunnD011000.05110—19:44
57D. PerronL101-150.77102—19:15
26N. WalkerL000-150.47110—15:51
12Z. SanfordL213+260.84300—15:42
77N. MikkolaD000-100.00100—14:06
25J. KyrouR101+110.20014—13:13
41R. BortuzzoD000-110.00120—12:29
68M. HoffmanC000-110.14100012:00
13K. CliffordL011+130.08200—11:34
28M. MacEachernL000+110.01100—10:39
9S. BlaisL000-110.17300—09:07
54D. JoshuaC101+110.152008007:15
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)33294.8793.01-0.9959:24

Season series

STL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).