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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV SNE, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 2:25. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 2:25 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 23, MTL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT091111300223
MTLMTL0801021813339

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(9)
    A. Zub (8), C. White (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    1-0
    14:52

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(6)
    E. Dadonov (7), S. Pinto (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:51
  2. MTL
    J. Petry(12)
    T. Toffoli (13)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:12
  3. MTL
    T. Toffoli(27)PPG
    N. Suzuki (22), C. Perry (11)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    14:25

Overtime

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(1)
    J. Petry (25), J. Evans (8)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:25

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

2nd

  • 1:38OTTErik Brannstrom · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 9:11OTTJosh Norris · Fightingdrawn by Alexander Romanov5 min
  • 9:11MTLAlexander Romanov · Fightingdrawn by Josh Norris5 min
  • 19:08MTLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:20MTLPhillip Danault · High stickingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 10:21OTTShane Pinto · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 13:36OTTNikita Zaitsev · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 2:25 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.22T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.19C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.18J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.17J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.11J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT34%66%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
24
Hits
27
20
Blocked shots
11
26
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101+130.25130—30:16
22N. ZaitsevD000010.11232—24:52
7B. TkachukL000-100.007104019:56
19D. BathersonR000-110.20310—18:46
28C. BrownR000000.21000—18:29
98V. MeteD000020.11020—17:57
71C. TierneyC000010.371103317:20
3J. BrownD000000.06020—16:44
2A. ZubD011+100.00020—16:37
9J. NorrisC000-100.061253016:29
13N. PaulL000+120.131107514:43
10R. DzingelC000-120.35100014:10
18T. StützleC101020.23100013:59
57S. PintoC011+120.041022013:59
36C. WhiteC011+130.113004012:58
26E. BrannstromD000-110.03122—12:56
29M. AmadioR000+120.25100—11:14
63E. DadonovL011+110.08000—10:37
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)39363.9233.53+0.5362:25

Season series

OTT leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).