Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 1:35 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.1, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 32, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (34 saves, .971), 2. Matt Murray (30 saves, .938), 3. Jeff Petry (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goalsPenalties
1st
- 5:37
Erik Brannstrom · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 10:28
Alexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
- 16:21
Thomas Chabot · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
2nd
- 7:32
Brendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
- 11:56
Jake Evans · High stickingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
- 14:41
Brett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
3rd
- 15:42
Ben Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 16:46
Thomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 19:57
Ben Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Josh Anderson, 3rd 1:35 — 48% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.12 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.3
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.21
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 25
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 8
- Giveaways
- 18
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 6-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
