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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Final/OTTV SN, RDS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Brady Tkachuk scoring at 3:30. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 3:30 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 32, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Matt Murray stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Brown.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL190141900232
OTTOTT1120811316339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(4)
    J. Anderson (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:17
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(4)
    A. Zub (3)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:47

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(4)
    N. Zaitsev (7), B. Tkachuk (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    3:33
  2. MTL
    C. Perry(2)
    J. Petry (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    14:35

Overtime

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(6)
    D. Batherson (6), E. Brannstrom (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:30

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:37MTLPaul Byron · High stickingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 11:40OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:36MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 4:06MTLPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 10:22MTLBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 15:04OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 18:50MTLJeff Petry · Cross checkingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 18:50OTTDerek Stepan · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

3rd

  • 8:16OTTMike Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, OT 3:30 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.26B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.24C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.17E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.14E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.11J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.05N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.03J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
1.72 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL21%79%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-150.12100—25:05
26J. PetryD011+250.14202—24:15
8B. ChiarotD000-110.03652—23:59
73T. ToffoliC000020.22110022:11
44J. EdmundsonD000+130.07010—21:49
14N. SuzukiC101010.170026320:24
24P. DanaultC000010.011024218:55
17J. AndersonR011-200.0020010018:19
11B. GallagherR000020.273105016:23
40J. ArmiaR000+130.10000—15:33
15J. KotkaniemiC000+100.091103614:40
41P. ByronL000-100.00302—14:35
27A. RomanovD000-210.02220—12:45
90T. TatarL000000.00100—10:59
53V. MeteD000020.04100—10:50
94C. PerryR101020.18000—10:19
71J. EvansC000-120.110003310:18
92J. DrouinL000020.12100—09:11
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)39363.9233.46+0.4663:30

Season series

OTT leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).