New York Rangers at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 16:22 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.0, NYI 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 28, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Josh Bailey (3 A), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Varlamov28 saves, 1.000

- ★★J. Bailey3 A

- ★★★A. Beauvillier2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-14:39
0-216:22
2nd period
0-31:02
Penalties
1st
- 13:30
Kyle Palmieri · Minordrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
2nd
- 7:34
Casey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
- 10:22
Filip Chytil · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 1st 16:22 — 68% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.00 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.8
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 27
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 4
- Giveaways
- 5
- 1
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
