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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV ESPN+, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Ryan Pulock scoring at 1:13. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Pulock's goal at 1:13 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 26, NYI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Ryan Pulock (1 G), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 3. Ilya Sorokin (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR082100701226
NYINYI217060712332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson (10), J. Bailey (19)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:47
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle (13), M. Barzal (23)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:23
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:16

Overtime

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:13

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:23NYRChris Kreider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:18NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Interferencedrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

2nd

  • 4:42NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 12:44NYRRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

3rd

  • 3:54NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 9:03NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 18:31NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 18:31NYRPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Pulock, OT 1:13 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.25J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.19A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.17T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.16C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.14T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.14N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.04A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR35%65%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000010.11022—25:44
55R. LindgrenD000010.05320—21:48
8J. TroubaD000-150.22240—20:34
79K. MillerD000-210.03200—20:24
93M. ZibanejadC011+120.260004019:34
10A. PanarinL000-100.08000—19:07
89P. BuchnevichL000+120.2110210017:31
16R. StromeC000-220.120024617:20
43C. BlackwellC000-100.0220010016:16
42B. SmithD101+230.18100—15:58
20C. KreiderL000010.05602—15:41
72F. ChytilC011030.14000014:21
74V. KravtsovR011+120.11000—13:35
25L. HajekD101+210.01000—13:12
13A. LafrenièreL000+110.201007512:48
24K. KakkoR011+100.02100—12:38
17K. RooneyC000000.052203311:59
21B. HowdenC000010.09000010:22
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(O)32293.9062.79-0.2161:13

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).