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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, MSG+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 2-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Cizikas's goal at 11:15 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 30, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Martin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Casey Cizikas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0701429230
NYRNYR09010011030

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +34 pts
    1-0
    11:15
  2. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    13:20

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:21NYIMichael Dal Colle · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

2nd

  • 6:14NYINoah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min

3rd

  • 16:13NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 19:06NYIAdam Pelech · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Casey Cizikas, 3rd 11:15 — NYI 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.30A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.21K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.11P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR0 G · 2.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
2.32 G
All situations
0 G2.7
2.22 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI44%56%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000000.00010—22:42
6R. PulockD000+200.00210—22:37
24S. MayfieldD000020.04330—22:37
4A. GreeneD000010.06040—20:53
3A. PelechD011+200.01112—19:36
13M. BarzalC011+110.091003319:12
12J. BaileyR000010.01000—18:19
27A. LeeL000030.43210—17:19
7J. EberleR000050.30100—17:05
44J. PageauC000020.151105016:16
29B. NelsonC000010.200102916:13
47L. KomarovR000010.11500—13:04
53C. CizikasC101+140.544004513:04
15C. ClutterbuckR011+200.00110—13:01
8N. DobsonD000030.03002—11:40
28M. Dal ColleL000000.00102—11:01
17M. MartinL112+220.10200—10:30
26O. WahlstromR000040.2310010009:57
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)303001.0002.65+2.6560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).