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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, MSG-B·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 19, BOS 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (3 G), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Sean Kuraly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. Smith3 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci3 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    S. Kuraly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF140718219
BOSBOS217112314643

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Krejci (27), T. Hall (21)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:21
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:35
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:38

2nd period

  1. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:36

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:18
  2. BOS
    M. Reilly (25), D. Krejci (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    5:31
  3. BUF
    wristxG 0.27win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    7:02
  4. BOS
    C. Smith(13)PPG
    D. Krejci (29), T. Hall (22)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    2-6
    14:05

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:28BUFRiley Sheahan · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 12:27BUFMattias Samuelsson · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 8:34BOSSean Kuraly · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
  • 19:09BUFDylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min

3rd

  • 7:45BUFRasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 7:45BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 7:45BOSDavid Pastrnak · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 13:39BUFWill Borgen · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 5:36 — BOS 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.15S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.12S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.10C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.09C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS6 G · 3.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.42 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF18%82%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
19
Shots on goal
43
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
31
7
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78J. BrysonD011-120.06200—24:03
26R. DahlinD000+120.10102—22:58
10H. JokiharjuD000010.02120—20:50
96A. BjorkL000-220.06200—20:27
23S. ReinhartC000-220.150104019:40
55R. RistolainenD000-100.03320—17:59
24D. CozensC000-220.130026417:32
3W. BorgenD000-200.00422—16:07
37C. MittelstadtC022+100.001006815:27
54M. SamuelssonD000-300.00202—15:11
25A. RuotsalainenC101+120.39100015:03
68V. OlofssonL000-300.00100—14:49
53J. SkinnerL000-220.04000—14:41
91D. CaggiulaL000-200.00300—14:20
74R. AsplundC011010.08200013:44
15R. SheahanC101+110.111025011:54
72T. ThompsonC000020.08100011:03
13T. RiederL000000.11000—07:46
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)29263.8972.23-0.7740:00
31D. Tokarski14113.7861.06-1.9420:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).