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Bruins at Sabres
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Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
4
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
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Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 6-4. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Dahlin's goal at 6:54 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 40, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (3 G), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (36 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    S. Reinhart3 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen36 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS15013322440
BUFBUF11021638634

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    S. Kampfer(2)
    T. Hall (20), T. Rask (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:15
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(18)PPG
    R. Dahlin (17), V. Olofsson (16)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    15:40

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(5)
    R. Sheahan (8), T. Rieder (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:54
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(9)
    T. Thompson (4), M. Samuelsson (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    14:17

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Ruotsalainen(4)
    D. Cozens (9), M. Samuelsson (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:14
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(19)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.35win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    4:30
  3. BOS
    N. Ritchie(12)
    S. Kampfer (2), J. DeBrusk (7)
    wristxG 0.23
    2-5
    12:06
  4. BOS
    K. Miller(1)
    S. Kampfer (3), S. Kuraly (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    15:25
  5. BOS
    T. Hall(5)
    C. McAvoy (21), D. Krejci (24)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    4-5
    17:12
  6. BUF
    S. Reinhart(20)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:18

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:23BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Arttu Ruotsalainen2 min
  • 17:59BUFArttu Ruotsalainen · Slashingdrawn by David Krejci2 min

2nd

  • 8:55BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 18:32BUFDylan Cozens · Embellishmentdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 18:32BOSCraig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 4:21BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Dahlin, 2nd 6:54 — BUF 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.51T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.41S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.35T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.19R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.16C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.15C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.14T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.14D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.12A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.08R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.07H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.07R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.02D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.02R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ruotsalainen · Goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF6 G · 3.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
3.14 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS51%49%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
40
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
13
7
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
3
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011-110.02120—24:07
6M. ReillyD000-130.10100—21:21
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.00004—21:12
71T. HallL112+150.33000—19:24
63B. MarchandL000-240.36002—19:09
46D. KrejciC011+110.190205719:05
86K. MillerD101020.40210—19:02
12C. SmithC000+150.13102017:56
44S. KampferD123+220.13010—16:53
13C. CoyleC000-200.150004216:48
88D. PastrnakR000-230.37000—16:24
55J. LauzonD000+110.01000—14:51
52S. KuralyC011+140.240007914:11
74J. DeBruskL011+120.11010—12:54
21N. RitchieL101+150.41100—12:04
81A. BlidhL000010.09000—10:42
14C. WagnerR000010.03200—10:35
20C. LazarC000000.001004010:23
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask28244.8572.06-1.9441:14
41J. Halak(L)541.8000.86-0.1417:19

Season series

BOS leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).