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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Boston Bruins
▸5
FinalTV NESNplus, MSG-B·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 7:58 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.6, BOS 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 31, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.5 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Coyle (1 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Coyle1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11101119231
BOSBOS213015312540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(19)
    P. Bergeron (24), B. Marchand (33)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:16
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(10)
    A. Ruotsalainen (1), R. Asplund (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:09
  3. BOS
    D. Krejci(8)PPG
    C. McAvoy (23), C. Smith (18)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:59

3rd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(23)
    V. Olofsson (17), J. Skinner (6)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    1:43
  2. BOS
    C. Coyle(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    7:58
  3. BOS
    T. Hall(7)
    D. Krejci (26), C. Smith (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:43
  4. BOS
    B. Marchand(27)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:26

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:05BUFSam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 5:36BOSCurtis Lazar · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 14:50BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 13:30BOSDavid Krejci · Interferencedrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 13:30BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holdingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 17:47BOSConnor Clifton · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 3rd 7:58 — BOS 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.24P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.16B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.03D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
2.62 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF52%48%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
31
Shots on goal
40
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-320.32414—23:33
54M. SamuelssonD000-100.00110—22:16
55R. RistolainenD000-120.03320—20:46
10H. JokiharjuD000-330.06210—19:57
37C. MittelstadtC101-230.321005319:38
78J. BrysonD000+200.00300—18:14
23S. ReinhartC101-170.680024617:46
68V. OlofssonL011020.32200—17:34
96A. BjorkL000000.00200—17:02
24D. CozensC000-140.400004616:43
25A. RuotsalainenC011-110.06400016:15
91D. CaggiulaL000020.2350010015:48
74R. AsplundC011-110.02000015:40
53J. SkinnerL011+100.001002514:29
3W. BorgenD000+200.00010—13:08
15R. SheahanC000020.140002009:38
13T. RiederL000-120.06010—08:36
72T. ThompsonC000-100.00200007:42
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)39354.8972.47-1.5359:21

Season series

BOS leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).