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Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 14:40 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 31, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 3.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (31 saves, 1.000), 2. David Perron (1 G, 2 A), 3. Torey Krug (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Husso31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01301404031
STLSTL21121204427

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:54
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou (21), B. Schenn (20)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:40

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    9:56
  2. STL
    T. Krug (29), J. Faulk (17)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    13:10

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:57STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:37STLVille Husso · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 12:28STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 12:28MINKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 11:09STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 1st 14:40 — STL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.24B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.11T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
3.70 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.90 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN72%28%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
38
5
Blocked shots
5
25
Giveaways
24
12
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-230.15000—22:15
25J. BrodinD000-230.12010—20:37
20R. SuterD000-100.03200—19:55
46J. SpurgeonD000-100.24110—19:36
97K. KaprizovL000-150.83000—19:13
36M. ZuccarelloR000-150.3911010018:57
28I. ColeD000-110.02210—17:55
38R. HartmanR000-120.261003117:46
14J. Eriksson EkC000-120.093005416:25
21C. SoucyD000-110.02300—16:06
90M. JohanssonL000-110.28200—15:50
49V. RaskC000-120.244104315:34
22K. FialaL000-110.26102—15:26
18J. GreenwayL000-110.11400—15:02
17M. FolignoL000000.01400—14:29
13N. BoninoC000-110.271008312:21
7N. SturmC000-120.12200010:24
27N. BjugstadC000-110.22100010:09
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)27234.8522.20-1.8060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).