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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
St. Louis Blues
▸9
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 9-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 7-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 15:23 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.1; shots on goal were MIN 25, STL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 29 of 38 (.763), 6.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (3 G, 1 A), 2. Jaden Schwartz (2 G), 3. Justin Faulk (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11201003125
STLSTL41831129938

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(9)
    R. Thomas (6), T. Bozak (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:32
  2. STL
    J. Schwartz(3)
    V. Tarasenko (7), V. Dunn (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:59
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(4)
    C. Soucy (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:33
  4. STL
    J. Schwartz(4)
    B. Schenn (15), T. Krug (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:23
  5. STL
    S. Blais(5)
    J. Faulk (9), D. Perron (26)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    16:53

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(14)
    S. Blais (5), J. Faulk (10)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    1-5
    1:09
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(15)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    1-6
    4:39
  3. STL
    J. Faulk(6)
    R. Thomas (7), T. Bozak (4)
    wristxG 0.12
    1-7
    8:19

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(16)
    J. Walman (1), S. Blais (6)
    tip-inxG 0.08
    1-8
    10:17
  2. STL
    I. Barbashev(3)PPG
    T. Krug (21), R. O'Reilly (22)
    deflectedxG 0.07
    1-9
    17:39

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:55STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 14:12MINJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

3rd

  • 7:37STLBrayden Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 16:06MINCarson Soucy · Boardingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 1st 15:23 — STL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.22S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.21D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.16J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.11T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.11S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.07K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.00
STL9 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
1.11 G
All situations
9 G3.1
1.01 G
Even strength
7 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN17%83%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.14 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
7
9
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-320.06100—22:05
25J. BrodinD000-310.02210—21:55
20R. SuterD000-200.00000—20:50
46J. SpurgeonD000-510.03110—18:30
28I. ColeD000000.00030—18:18
90M. JohanssonL000-210.000005717:52
36M. ZuccarelloR000-200.07010—16:59
97K. KaprizovL000-210.06000—16:41
21C. SoucyD011030.02102—16:25
22K. FialaL000-450.23000—14:57
49V. RaskC000-200.001006714:54
38R. HartmanR000-320.151004514:41
13N. BoninoC000-300.000102214:18
41L. JohnsonC000-120.022105414:08
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.082003313:57
18J. GreenwayL000-110.03402—13:49
37K. RauC000000.03310013:15
11Z. PariseL101-130.35000—12:53
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)38299.7633.05-5.9560:00

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).