Blues at Wild 0-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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St. Louis Blues

Minnesota Wild

▸2

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 5:46 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 0.8; shots on goal were STL 37, MIN 11. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 9 of 11 (.818), 1.3 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 A), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Talbot37 saves, 1.000
★★
K. Fiala1 A
★★★
M. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	010	014	013	037
MIN	02	26	03	211

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

M. Johansson(3)
K. Fiala (6), J. Brodin (10)
wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
0-1
5:46
K. Kaprizov(11)
M. Zuccarello (16)
wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
0-2
15:21

Penalties

16 PIM·

16 PIM

1st

0:01Brayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
0:01Ryan Hartman · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
1:57Vince Dunn · Cross checkingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
4:12Jonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
9:53Robert Bortuzzo · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
17:10Carson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

11:12Kirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
18:34Nico Sturm · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Sanford5 min
18:34Zachary Sanford · Fightingdrawn by Nico Sturm5 min

3rd

0:57Justin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 2nd 5:46 — MIN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 0.8 xG · 22 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.7 xG · 52 att MIN

2 G · 0.8 xG · 22 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.70 G
All situations: 2 G0.8; 1.80 G
Even strength: 2 G0.5; 0.90 G
Power play: 0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

86%14%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 0.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

37
Shots on goal: 11; 57%
Faceoffs: 43%; 0/3
Power play: 0/3; 16
Penalty minutes: 16; 8
Hits: 12; 8
Blocked shots: 16; 6
Giveaways: 8; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

St. Louis Blues skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
47T. KrugD	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	—	25:27
72J. FaulkD	0	5	0.22	0	1	2	—	23:41
90R. O'ReillyC	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	76	22:55
17J. SchwartzL	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	—	22:52
10B. SchennC	0	1	0.08	0	0	5	40	22:32
91V. TarasenkoR	0	7	0.48	1	0	0	—	21:35
57D. PerronL	0	9	0.73	0	1	0	—	20:06
29V. DunnD	-2	3	0.10	0	1	2	—	19:17
6M. ScandellaD	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	—	18:26
25J. KyrouR	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	—	16:53
18R. ThomasC	-1	0	0.16	0	0	0	70	13:18
68M. HoffmanC	-1	4	0.36	0	0	0	0	12:23
41R. BortuzzoD	0	0	0.02	1	1	2	—	12:08
46J. WalmanD	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	—	12:03
12Z. SanfordL	-1	1	0.06	2	1	5	—	12:00
13K. CliffordL	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	—	08:20
9S. BlaisL	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	06:54
54D. JoshuaC	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	33	06:36

St. Louis Blues goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
50J. Binnington(L)	11	9	2	.818	0.75	-1.25	56:34

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score