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Panthers at Predators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV BSFL+, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Panthers scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 3:35 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.0, NSH 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 40, NSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 14 of 16 (.875); Juuse Saros stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Haula (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (39 saves, .975), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    E. Haula1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros39 saves, .975
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA16022012140
NSHNSH1131529427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(8)
    A. Duclair (20), M. Nutivaara (9)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:49
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(13)PPG
    R. Josi (24), C. Jarnkrok (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    6:30

2nd period

  1. NSH
    N. Cousins(5)
    E. Haula (11), M. Ekholm (14)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:35

3rd period

  1. NSH
    E. Haula(7)
    M. Duchene (6), E. Gudbranson (3)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:39
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(5)
    T. Jeannot (1), C. Sissons (6)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:12

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:38FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 11:28NSHMikael Granlund · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 5:36NSHErik Gudbranson · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 6:05NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 6:05FLAFrank Vatrano · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 15:08FLAKeith Yandle · Slashingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalFLA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Cousins, 2nd 3:35 — NSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.22E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.21Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.21N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.19M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNSH
3.01 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA54%46%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNSH
40
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
18
5
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000030.21000—23:57
65M. NutivaaraD011+110.03100—23:18
16A. BarkovC000-110.240105819:50
42G. ForslingD000-130.12000—19:35
52M. WeegarD000-120.03112—18:42
91A. DuclairL011+120.24000—18:19
21A. WennbergC000030.181104318:11
11J. HuberdeauL000+110.021005017:30
9S. BennettC101+150.681001317:21
77F. VatranoR000-120.08302—17:15
97N. GusevL000030.21000—17:15
7R. GudasD000-140.07010—16:39
3K. YandleD000-220.06012—15:56
94R. LombergL000-120.20200—15:05
55N. AcciariC000-210.223005011:09
74O. TippettR000-150.34000—09:57
83J. LammikkoC000-100.070006707:47
71L. WallmarkC000-100.00100007:41
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)16142.8751.78-0.2234:46
72S. Bobrovsky1192.8180.98-1.0224:55

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).