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Predators at Panthers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Florida Panthers
1
FinalTV FS-F, FS-TN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Florida Panthers 2-1. The Panthers scored first; the Predators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 1:17 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 27, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Calle Jarnkrok (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (40 saves, .976), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros40 saves, .976
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0121718227
FLAFLA113015013141

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(11)
    P. Hornqvist (13), M. Weegar (16)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:38

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(8)
    A. Carrier (1), M. Ekholm (8)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:25

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(9)
    M. Granlund (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:17

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:13NSHJeremy Davies · Cross checkingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 13:08FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
  • 14:01FLAJonathan Huberdeau · High stickingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min

2nd

  • 0:38NSHYakov Trenin · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

3rd

  • 12:13NSHMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 19:41FLAKeith Yandle · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNSH goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 3rd 1:17 — NSH 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.17J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.17N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.16J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.12N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.11G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA1 G · 3.1 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsFLA
2.02 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH30%70%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
41
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45A. CarrierD011+110.09220—23:16
14M. EkholmD011+110.02112—22:30
17B. HarpurD000010.00300—19:32
64M. GranlundC011+230.181005419:27
92R. JohansenC000-110.102105319:09
57D. FabbroD000000.02210—18:14
5M. BenningD000030.06110—17:46
19C. JarnkrokC202+250.37010016:50
38J. DaviesD000000.00012—16:43
9F. ForsbergL000-120.0620010016:12
33V. ArvidssonL000+250.36010—15:52
28E. TolvanenR000-110.08400—15:12
56E. HaulaL000020.560104414:46
10C. SissonsC000010.021205414:26
21N. CousinsC000000.00200011:17
23R. GrimaldiR000000.00000—10:59
13Y. TreninC000000.04402010:58
25M. OlivierR000010.03000—10:51
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)41401.9763.10+2.1060:00

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).