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Predators at Panthers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV FS-F, FS-TN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Nashville Predators 2-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 9:15 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were NSH 21, FLA 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 47 of 48 (.979), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (47 saves, .979), 3. Chris Driedger (21 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros47 saves, .979
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Driedger21 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH070608021
FLAFLA022112115249

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(13)
    A. Duclair (11), M. Weegar (17)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:15

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(3)EN
    C. Verhaeghe (12)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:45

Penalties

NSH 12 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:27NSHBen Harpur · Cross checkingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 12:13NSHMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 12:13NSHMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 18:49FLAAleksander Barkov · Cross checkingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

2nd

  • 17:02FLAAnthony Duclair · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:02NSHNick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 18:54NSHAlexandre Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 8:38FLAJonathan Huberdeau · High stickingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 11:26NSHErik Haula · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 16:15FLAAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 2nd 9:15 — FLA 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.90A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.31M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.22P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.21A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.20C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.19P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA2 G · 5.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsFLA
1.60 G
All situations
1 G5.4
0.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G3.5
1.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH10%90%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 4.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsFLA
21
Shots on goal
49
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000-140.13420—28:03
64M. GranlundC000-110.031204521:26
9F. ForsbergL000-120.27000—21:09
45A. CarrierD000020.06232—20:58
92R. JohansenC000-100.090106320:48
57D. FabbroD000-110.04320—20:11
28E. TolvanenR000-140.31210—17:08
19C. JarnkrokC000010.04000016:32
17B. HarpurD000-110.07132—16:23
56E. HaulaL000000.001124616:22
33V. ArvidssonL000010.14000—15:46
5M. BenningD000010.02430—15:35
21N. CousinsC000020.21002014:25
10C. SissonsC000-200.150105712:03
38J. DaviesD000010.02000—11:53
23R. GrimaldiR000-100.00010—08:52
13Y. TreninC000-100.00110008:20
25M. OlivierR000000.00104—03:24
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)48471.9794.53+3.5358:42

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).