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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 17:16 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 13% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 27, COL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Jonas Johansson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. David Perron (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11215010227
COLCOL210111018339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(11)PPG
    N. Kadri (17), A. Burakovsky (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:24
  2. STL
    M. Hoffman(9)
    B. Schenn (13), D. Perron (23)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:50
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(11)PPG
    G. Landeskog (20), C. Makar (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    14:43

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(12)
    G. Landeskog (21), J. MacDonald (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    13:11
  2. STL
    D. Perron(13)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (6), T. Krug (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    17:16

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:23STLKyle Clifford · Slashingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 14:31STLTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 15:51COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 4:24STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:05STLMarco Scandella · Trippingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 10:38COLAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 15:23STLZachary Sanford · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 16:02COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 16:47COLSamuel Girard · Throwing equipment2 min

3rd

  • 15:08COLMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 18:36STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 17:16 — STL 13% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.67C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.19B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.8
0.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.31 G
Power play
2 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL33%67%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
1
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-110.02530—24:54
90R. O'ReillyC000020.230106424:49
47T. KrugD011030.03112—24:33
10B. SchennC011+150.723004620:41
57D. PerronL112+120.19122—20:25
91V. TarasenkoR011030.25010—19:53
6M. ScandellaD000010.01112—19:31
29V. DunnD000+120.09020—19:16
17J. SchwartzL000010.04100—17:34
68M. HoffmanC101+130.30010016:36
12Z. SanfordL000000.0010210012:30
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00220—12:17
25J. KyrouR000010.05010—11:54
46J. WalmanD000000.00200—11:30
18R. ThomasC000000.000003311:20
49I. BarbashevL000-100.000105010:10
21T. BozakC000-100.001002708:43
13K. CliffordL000-130.18002—06:34
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)39363.9233.10+0.1058:24

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).