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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 19:19 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 28, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (27 saves, .964), 2. Cale Makar (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1140608128
COLCOL11401218234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(13)
    G. Landeskog (22), D. Toews (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:27
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(13)
    B. Schenn (14), D. Perron (24)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:04

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +45 pts
    1-2
    19:19

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·COL 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:58STLTyler Bozak · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 14:11STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 15:53COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

2nd

  • 1:08COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:56STLJaden Schwartz · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 5:56COLLiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
  • 5:56STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 6:43STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 4:36COLNazem Kadri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ville Husso2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 3rd 19:19 — COL 51% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.50J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.33V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.25G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.21N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.17J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.14C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.10J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.11 G
All situations
2 G3.9
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL30%70%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
6
14
Blocked shots
7
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000-110.03010—25:27
72J. FaulkD000-230.06002—22:23
6M. ScandellaD000010.02120—21:20
90R. O'ReillyC101030.400005720:36
10B. SchennC011000.030126019:25
29V. DunnD000+130.11120—17:50
57D. PerronL011-130.29100—17:49
17J. SchwartzL000-120.09112—16:28
46J. WalmanD000010.01200—15:33
91V. TarasenkoR000-110.18320—15:31
49I. BarbashevL000010.051005014:35
12Z. SanfordL000000.00240—14:29
21T. BozakC000020.132024014:23
68M. HoffmanC000-110.06000013:28
18R. ThomasC000+110.16000012:16
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00315—11:07
25J. KyrouR000030.22000—10:32
13K. CliffordL000020.25100—09:02
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)34322.9413.36+1.3659:42

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).