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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV NBCSN, ALT·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 2:52 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 28, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Compher (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    M. Hoffman2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11031404428
STLSTL18011215334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(6)
    L. O'Brien (2), J. Compher (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:28
  2. STL
    V. Dunn(6)PPG
    T. Bozak (6), M. Hoffman (13)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    15:20

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(6)
    L. O'Brien (3), C. Timmins (1)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:52
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(26)PPG
    C. Makar (27), N. MacKinnon (36)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    5:17
  3. COL
    B. Saad(14)
    T. Jost (9), M. Rantanen (26)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:17

3rd period

  1. STL
    M. Hoffman(12)
    J. Kyrou (16), T. Krug (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    5:55
  2. STL
    M. Hoffman(13)PPG
    D. Perron (28), V. Tarasenko (8)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +6 pts
    4-3
    16:44

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:40COLRyan Graves · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

2nd

  • 5:03STLJake Walman · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 13:23STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:38COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 9:00COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 13:05STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:46COLTyson Jost · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 2:52 — COL 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.25B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.20M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
34
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000020.25020—26:06
8C. MakarD011+120.08210—25:06
49S. GirardD000+120.04120—24:06
92G. LandeskogL000000.134224421:54
96M. RantanenR112+120.25000—21:43
27R. GravesD000000.01222—21:38
29N. MacKinnonC011+160.26200921:24
91N. KadriC000010.210104715:45
37J. CompherL112+220.400121415:22
34C. SoderbergC000000.00210015:02
95A. BurakovskyL000020.04110—14:07
17T. JostC011010.070025011:57
13V. NichushkinR000-130.10100—11:28
26J. MacDonaldD000+100.03110—11:09
20B. SaadL101010.09200—10:40
41P. BellemareL101+120.090104410:20
22C. TimminsD011+110.01030—09:09
38L. O'BrienC022+210.12200006:56
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)34313.9122.97-0.0359:30

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).