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New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 17:00 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 56% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 25, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikhail Maltsev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marián Studenic (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Maltsev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Studenic1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2611326525
NJDNJD0121929330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(19)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.24win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    6:31
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:03

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    5:17
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    18:55

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:53
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.17win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:30
  3. NYR
    R. Strome (30), A. Fox (36)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    17:00
  4. NYR
    xG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:35

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·NJD 20 PIM

1st

  • 5:23NJDNico Hischier · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 16:36NYRKevin Rooney · Interferencedrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min

2nd

  • 10:25NJDMarián Studenic · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 14:19NJDJack Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto2 min
  • 14:19NJDJack Hughes · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 7:37NJDMarián Studenic · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 15:50NJDRyan Murray · High stickingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 3rd 17:00 — NYR 56% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.26N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.17J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14M. Studenic · Goal · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.12M. Maltsev · Goal · xG 0.11M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Merkley · Missed · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maltsev · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNJD
3.45 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR48%52%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
20
16
Hits
8
13
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
12
13
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011020.04000—27:34
10A. PanarinL022+110.15000—22:37
79K. MillerD000000.00020—22:10
93M. ZibanejadC112-130.451105621:02
55R. LindgrenD000+110.01100—21:00
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.13100—20:34
8J. TroubaD000-230.15430—20:03
43C. BlackwellC011+110.04210019:24
16R. StromeC112+121.260001019:17
20C. KreiderL101-110.32110—18:06
17K. RooneyC000+110.042025012:14
42B. SmithD000+110.03000—12:09
21B. HowdenC011+120.291206711:24
24K. KakkoR011000.10010—11:15
74V. KravtsovR101010.08000—10:55
22A. BitettoD000000.00310—10:50
13A. LafrenièreL101-110.11010—09:11
72F. ChytilC011-130.160004308:15
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)28253.8932.39-0.6157:41
31I. Shesterkin2201.0000.13+0.1302:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).