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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+ 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 10:43 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.5, NYR 3.3; shots on goal were NJD 37, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Janne Kuokkanen (3 A), 2. Nick Merkley (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Kuokkanen3 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Merkley1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01629312537
NYRNYR09216014239

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    7:37
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    11:32
  3. NJD
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:14
  4. NYR
    snapxG 0.05win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:27

3rd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:43
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    14:09
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.63
    5-2
    19:39

Penalties

NJD 5 PIM·NYR 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:29NYRChris Kreider · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
  • 0:29NJDMichael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Chris Kreider5 min
  • 19:15NYRChris Kreider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:37NYRMika Zibanejad · Elbowingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 10:43 — NJD 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.29K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.19B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.16J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.15K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.13C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.06K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.06A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.05A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.05P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
3.54 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
37
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD011+110.05410—24:48
24T. SmithD000+240.20020—23:51
76P. SubbanD011+210.02050—19:40
86J. HughesC000000.110002718:59
8W. ButcherD101+210.04020—17:40
21K. PalmieriC011+120.14200016:23
63J. BrattL011+130.28100—16:21
17Y. SharangovichC101+230.35110016:16
5C. CarrickD000-210.03210—16:14
7M. TennysonD000-100.00000—16:00
37P. ZachaC101+130.223104215:42
44M. WoodL000-120.04010—15:41
59J. KuokkanenC033+110.07000014:49
39N. MerkleyR112+140.51200—14:28
11A. JohnssonL000020.240005013:53
23M. MaltsevL101+250.910106413:41
14N. BastianR000-110.013203313:04
20M. McLeodC000-130.263057412:30
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)39372.9493.33+1.3360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).