Rangers at Devils 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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New York Rangers

▸3

New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 7:50 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 77% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 20, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G).

Three stars

★
I. Shesterkin27 saves, 1.000
★★
M. Zibanejad1 G
★★★
A. Panarin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	18	04	28	320
NJD	010	08	09	027

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Zibanejad(15)
P. Buchnevich (21), A. Fox (33)
snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
1-0
7:02

3rd period

A. Panarin(13)
F. Chytil (9), A. Fox (34)
wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
2-0
7:50
P. Buchnevich(16)EN
Unassisted
snapxG 0.78win prob +1 pts
3-0
19:32

Penalties

14 PIM·

10 PIM

1st

1:27Chris Kreider · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
1:27Damon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Chris Kreider5 min
19:19Brendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

2nd

5:42Brendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
5:42Michael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min

3rd

18:41Ryan Lindgren · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NJD

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 3rd 7:50 — NYR 77% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att NJD

0 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.82 G
All situations: 0 G2.5; 2.02 G
Even strength: 0 G2.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

40%60%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

20
Shots on goal: 27; 41%
Faceoffs: 59%; 0/0
Power play: 0/2; 14
Penalty minutes: 10; 16
Hits: 19; 15
Blocked shots: 8; 6
Giveaways: 8; 10
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8J. TroubaD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	4	3	0	—	22:40
23A. FoxD	0	2	2	+3	0	0.03	0	3	0	—	22:27
55R. LindgrenD	0	0	0	+2	3	0.06	3	0	2	—	21:03
79K. MillerD	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	1	0	—	19:59
89P. BuchnevichL	1	1	2	+2	1	0.81	0	0	0	—	19:05
93M. ZibanejadC	1	0	1	+2	2	0.38	0	0	0	29	18:45
25L. HajekD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	—	18:22
42B. SmithD	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	2	7	—	15:45
20C. KreiderL	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	1	5	67	15:37
10A. PanarinL	1	0	1	+1	1	0.37	1	1	0	—	14:30
17K. RooneyC	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	0	33	14:19
72F. ChytilC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	60	14:10
74V. KravtsovR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	—	13:56
24K. KakkoR	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	0	0	—	13:55
21B. HowdenC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	0	13:24
16R. StromeC	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	71	13:16
43C. BlackwellC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	0	12:48
13A. LafrenièreL	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	—	12:38

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)	27	27	0	1.000	2.48	+2.48	60:00

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score