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Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBC, TVAS·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 16:02 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.9 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G, 1 A), 2. David Krejci (2 G), 3. Brad Marchand (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11421108333
BOSBOS21031018628

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:02
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:56
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:50

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    2-2
    3:48
  2. WSH
    A. Mantha(15)PPG
    D. Orlov (8), L. Eller (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    4:54
  3. BOS
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    6:33
  4. BOS
    C. Smith (17), T. Hall (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-4
    16:02
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    17:45

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:16

Penalties

WSH 21 PIM·BOS 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:35WSHDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 8:53BOSConnor Clifton · High sticking double minordrawn by Lars Eller4 min
  • 20:00BOSCurtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 20:00WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

2nd

  • 2:53BOSConnor Clifton · High sticking double minordrawn by Conor Sheary4 min
  • 13:55WSHGarnet Hathaway · Holdingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 19:47BOSMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 5:52BOSJarred Tinordi · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 9:21WSHGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi5 min
  • 9:21WSHGarnet Hathaway · Game misconductdrawn by Jarred Tinordi10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalWSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 2nd 16:02 — BOS 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.59B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.58P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.17D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.14C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.13C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.08S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS6 G · 3.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsBOS
2.73 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.50 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH60%40%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsBOS
33
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/6
Power play
0/3
21
Penalty minutes
14
33
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
2
14
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD011-330.11212—27:30
74J. CarlsonD000-520.03100—25:50
77T. OshieR202-230.322002519:47
4B. DillonD000020.06300—19:47
8A. OvechkinL000-450.36500—19:26
3N. JensenD000+120.03130—19:08
19N. BackstromC022-230.610004518:19
39A. ManthaR101-110.08200—18:07
43T. WilsonR000-210.27400—18:02
92E. KuznetsovC011-410.031002117:20
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.00030—14:50
20L. EllerC011030.342007014:13
26N. DowdC000-120.076106412:46
62C. HagelinL000-110.04000—11:57
73C. ShearyL000010.01000—10:37
21G. HathawayR000-100.003019—09:38
10D. SprongR000030.32100—09:33
2J. SchultzD000000.00010—02:45
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)27225.8152.11-2.8959:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).