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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Alex Ovechkin scoring at 0:28. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 0:28 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 43, WSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.0 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vitek Vanecek (40 saves, .930), 3. Patrice Bergeron (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek40 saves, .930
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS0191152900343
WSHWSH172100511423

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:06

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:22
  2. WSH
    R. Panik(1)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    10:03
  3. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    17:32

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:03
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.26win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:02

Overtime

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:28

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:45WSHRichard Panik · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 8:39BOSDavid Krejci · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 16:43WSHGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min

3rd

  • 6:43WSHJakub Vrana · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 14:04WSHserved by C. Sheary · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, OT 0:28 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.22C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.14R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.13R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
3.53 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS75%25%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
43
Shots on goal
23
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
38
10
Blocked shots
26
9
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD112030.35010—23:53
88D. PastrnakR011050.77000—20:29
63B. MarchandL101+160.74000—19:36
67J. ZborilD000000.03200—19:14
21N. RitchieL101030.18100—18:25
46D. KrejciC011-160.280124318:07
37P. BergeronC033+130.420006317:59
86K. MillerD000-110.01100—17:57
13C. CoyleC000040.050005017:33
12C. SmithC000030.1710010017:03
75C. CliftonD000000.01410—16:56
55J. LauzonD000-100.00110—16:50
11T. FredericC000030.202105015:20
25B. CarloD000000.00150—15:18
83K. KuhlmanC000-130.131005012:19
10A. BjorkL000000.00000—11:29
52S. KuralyC000020.131008011:01
14C. WagnerR000010.050003310:56
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(O)23194.8261.96-2.0460:03

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).