Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Bruins came back from three goals down. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Carlo's goal at 17:23 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 33, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G), 2. Brandon Carlo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Vrana (2 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Pastrnak2 G

- ★★B. Carlo1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Vrana2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-113:26
0-213:37
2nd period
0-38:35
1-312:37
3rd period
2-36:08
3-313:07
4-317:23
5-318:34
Penalties
1st
- 8:18
Kevan Miller · Interferencedrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
- 18:23
Jakub Zboril · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
2nd
- 3:07
T.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
- 4:09
Garnet Hathaway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 7:19
Jeremy Lauzon · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 9:03
David Krejci · Interferencedrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
- 13:51
Nic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
3rd
- 8:49
Trent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
- 8:49
Tom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
- 10:02
Alex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brandon Carlo, 3rd 17:23 — 48% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.74 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.0
- 1.54 G
- Even strength
- 2 G0.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.99
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 27
- Hits
- 17
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 2
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 4-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
