San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Sharks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 15:47 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — SJS 1.7, MIN 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 28, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 3.4 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nico Sturm (1 G), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Sturm1 G

- ★★J. Brodin1 A

- ★★★J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-012:02
1-114:35
1-215:11
1-315:47
2nd period
1-41:14
1-519:11
3rd period
2-517:45
Penalties
1st
- 12:35
Mario Ferraro · Hookingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
- 18:40
Erik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 19:11
Tomas Hertl · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
2nd
- 19:11
served by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
3rd
- 9:33
Carson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
- 15:38
Mathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zach Parise, 1st 15:47 — 68% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.72 G
- All situations
- 5 G1.9
- 1.72 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 1.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 17
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 2
- Giveaways
- 10
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
