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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 13:17 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 29, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (1 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Devan Dubnyk (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    D. Dubnyk25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1120809129
MINMIN1711329429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:01
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:12

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:17

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.95win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:44
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.51
    1-4
    19:34

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:12MINNick Bonino · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 6:27SJSLogan Couture · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 12:10SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 15:34MINMathew Dumba · Holdingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

2nd

  • 17:39MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 17:39SJSMario Ferraro · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 17:39MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

3rd

  • 2:39SJSDylan Gambrell · Holdingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 13:17 — MIN 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.95J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.51Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS56%44%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
7
Hits
8
12
Blocked shots
24
2
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-230.02020—28:17
88B. BurnsD000-250.23240—28:01
38M. FerraroD000-110.04012—21:32
9E. KaneL000-310.01000—21:06
48T. HertlC000-310.130007619:34
39L. CoutureC000-310.040025019:11
44M. VlasicD000-120.06012—18:37
62K. LabancR000-130.17010—17:13
16R. DonatoC000-350.520106715:07
7D. GambrellC000010.100124415:04
28T. MeierR000-120.11100—14:14
43J. LeonardL000000.00000—12:49
51R. SimekD000000.00100—11:30
20M. SorensenL000+110.13100—11:21
12P. MarleauC011+100.001002910:57
83M. NietoL101+120.19000—10:32
71N. KnyzhovD000000.01010—10:18
11S. NoesenR000010.0110010009:39
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)27252.9261.48-0.5259:02

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).