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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brent Burns's goal at 18:12 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.8, MIN 2.8; shots on goal were SJS 36, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brent Burns (1 G), 2. Zach Parise (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kaapo Kahkonen (31 saves, .886).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kahkonen31 saves, .886

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS112212212536
MINMIN13115111329

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:21
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:02

2nd period

  1. SJS
    E. Kane(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    6:39
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:26
  3. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    16:47

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    7:20
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +44 pts
    4-3
    18:12
  3. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:31

Penalties

SJS 12 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:54SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:34MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 19:45MINNick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

2nd

  • 5:17MINKevin Fiala · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 10:43SJSErik Karlsson · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 16:41SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 16:41MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Nikolai Knyzhov2 min

3rd

  • 7:16SJSMarcus Sorensen · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 10:32SJSBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 10:32MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 14:34SJSMarcus Sorensen · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:48MINCarson Soucy · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Brent Burns, 3rd 18:12 — SJS 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.11N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS41%59%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
17
2
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD101+230.30222—27:31
65E. KarlssonD011010.09022—24:15
44M. VlasicD000010.02110—23:34
38M. FerraroD011+210.01110—22:03
48T. HertlC011010.140004120:20
39L. CoutureC000+150.240106118:43
16R. DonatoC112+110.020006015:18
9E. KaneL101+130.211003315:05
7D. GambrellC000000.070007514:27
62K. LabancR011+140.14000—14:03
83M. NietoL101+120.60200—13:54
28T. MeierR011+150.2631010013:43
43J. LeonardL000010.11000—13:29
12P. MarleauC000020.051006012:18
51R. SimekD000000.00120—11:55
20M. SorensenL000+130.51004—11:33
71N. KnyzhovD000010.05202—10:17
73N. GregorL101020.04100—08:01
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)29263.8972.80-0.2059:36

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).