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Coyotes at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSAZ+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 7-4. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Carrier's goal at 4:41 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 26, VGK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.1 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (2 G), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0811137426
VGKVGK42211025737

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(11)PPG
    M. Pacioretty (17), S. Theodore (24)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:03
  2. VGK
    W. Carrier(4)
    N. Roy (6), R. Reaves (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:41
  3. VGK
    K. Kolesar(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    6:59
  4. VGK
    R. Smith(8)SHG
    W. Karlsson (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    0-4
    8:44

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(8)
    M. Stone (30), B. McNabb (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    4:10
  2. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(10)PPG
    A. Goligoski (10), C. Garland (21)
    wristxG 0.04
    1-5
    19:07

3rd period

  1. ARI
    D. Hunt(3)
    P. Kessel (15), J. Larsson (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    2:42
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(12)
    P. Kessel (16), C. Dvorak (11)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    3:40
  3. VGK
    R. Smith(9)
    W. Karlsson (19), J. Marchessault (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +4 pts
    3-6
    9:44
  4. ARI
    M. Bunting(5)
    P. Kessel (17), N. Schmaltz (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    4-6
    9:59
  5. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(19)EN
    C. Stephenson (14), A. Pietrangelo (10)
    wristxG 0.52
    4-7
    19:05

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:30ARIChristian Fischer · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 8:25VGKWilliam Carrier · Slashingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 10:24ARIDerick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

2nd

  • 18:11VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalARI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: William Carrier, 1st 4:41 — VGK 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.52C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.48T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.21W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.20C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.15A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.14W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.12R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK7 G · 4.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVGK
2.54 G
All situations
6 G4.3
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI37%63%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
43
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD011020.10440—24:14
6J. ChychrunD000-140.27010—23:59
83C. GarlandR011-220.17300—21:44
58M. BuntingL101+110.11400—19:52
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-310.05110—19:28
8N. SchmaltzC112+120.300005019:26
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.00300—18:22
82J. OesterleD000010.02010—16:31
55J. DemersD000010.04200—16:29
81P. KesselR033-110.11000—15:35
18C. DvorakC011-330.271203114:56
16D. BrassardC000-110.072125613:30
22J. LarssonL011-110.065006413:27
67L. CrouseL000010.37110—13:25
9C. KellerR101-320.3810010013:18
28D. HuntL101-130.19800—13:11
17T. PitlickC000000.00310012:59
36C. FischerR000-100.00502—07:46
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)32275.8442.90-2.1040:00
50I. Prosvetov431.7500.42-0.5818:25

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).